Severe Weather Outlook - 4/12/15

A surface cold front that will be moving through the Northern Plains and Upper Missouri Valley into the Northern Great Lakes could stir up some severe weather today in the Central Plains states.

Some strong to severe thunderstorms will become possible as the day progresses into the late afternoon and evening hours around the slight area in the Mid-Missouri Valley and into the southern plains. Main weather risks associated with these afternoon storms will be large hail and damaging winds.

Later this afternoon and evening the eastward progression of a mid-to-upper level low over Northern Mexico will help facilitate thunderstorm development around the slight risk area in Texas. Cloud cover in the area currently is hindering surface heating, but moderate buoyancy will help some storms fire up with the risk factors being some outflow gusts and damaging winds.

As always keep your eye to the sky and be weather savvy!

Severe Weather Risk in Central US

Looks like today and tomorrow can produce some severe weather for parts of the United States. Severe storms are expected to develop over parts of the southern/central plain states to the Missouri Ozarks in the afternoon and evening hours.

Using the map above, made by StormTrackerWx lead meteorologist Jason Berry, It can be seen that possible tornado development in the marked areas are as follows:

Red or Moderate areas: 60%
Orange or Enhanced areas: 40%
Yellow or Slight areas: 20% or less

Wind and hail probabilities are summarized in the above map as well.

Locations expected to see the most severe storms are:

• Southeast Kansas
• Missouri
• Northern Oklahoma
• Western Illinois

These storms can bring large hail and damaging winds along with the development of several tornadoes. Other areas such as parts of Texas and northeastward into the Ohio Valley and Central Appalachians have the possibility to see strong to severe storms.

If you live in these areas please just keep a close eye on the weather and be ready to take action. Know your weather safety!

Check back tomorrow for another post summarizing tomorrow's severe weather outlook.