During the day, it's likely that some areas across central and eastern Texas and into the lower Mississippi Valley will see some hail and severe wind. There is a chance for more isolated activity to occur around Alabama, Georgia, Florida, and in some parts of Kansas and Oklahoma.Daytime heating and some breaks in cloud cover will occur over parts of Kansas and Oklahoma. This will allow for some scattered afternoon thunderstorms to fire-up. A few of those storms have the chance to become strong enough to possibly have some rotation, hail, and gusty winds associated with them. It's a similar scenario for Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, and Florida. During the peak heating hours of the day the atmosphere will become unstable enough to allow a few multi-cell storms to form, bringing with them locally damaging winds and hail.
The main threat of the day lies in the Texas region though. A well-defined shortwave trough is currently moving east-southeastward across Kansas. There is a MCS that is sitting over Oklahoma and Northern Texas and as the day progresses from the morning into the early afternoon, daytime heating is expected to occur. This is going to help destabilize the atmosphere and possibly allow for the squall line to intensify over parts of Arkansas, Louisiana, and Eastern Texas. The main threats will be damaging winds and hail, much like the other areas of interest for today. Southwestern Texas will not escape the chance to see some strong storms today, either. Steep mid-level lapse rates and vertical shear will be present, leading to a strong instability over this area. Keep an eye out for the development of some supercells capable of producing very large hail.
All-in-all, a pretty active weather day today for the above mentioned areas. Residents in these areas should keep their eyes open for a chance to see some strong storms move in throughout the day. Keep your eyes to the sky!
No comments:
Post a Comment